基于仿真的合成部队装备维修保障资源需求确定和效能评估

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1000-1093.2020.08.019

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 针对平时陆军合成部队装备维修保障资源需求确定及其验证问题，开展合成部队装备维修保障资源需求分析和装备维修保障效能评估研究。从保障对象、保障资源、保障策略3个方面对合成部队装备维修保障问题进行分析；以火控系统为例，采用蒙特卡洛仿真方法对单装火控系统维修时间和备件需求进行计算，在此基础上，分别计算单一种类装备群火控系统和多种类装备群火控系统的维修时间和备件需求，进而确定合成部队火控系统的维修保障人员和备件需求量；通过效能评估检验合成部队火控系统维修保障人员和备件需求计算结果的可信性。研究结果表明：采用该仿真方法确定合成部队各装备子系统的维修保障人员和备件需求是可行的；通过维修保障效能评估能够对维修保障资源需求计算结果进行验证。

关键词: 合成部队, 蒙特卡洛仿真, 人员, 备件, 效能评估

Abstract: The demand analysis of equipment maintenance support resources and the evaluation of equipment maintenance support effectiveness are carried out to determine the requirements of equipment maintenance support resources of combined aems in peacetime and verify the correctness of the calculated results. The equipment maintenance support for combined arms is analyzed from three aspects: support object, support resource and support strategy. Secondly, taking the fire control system as an example, Monte Carlo simulation method is used to calculate the demands of maintenance time and spare parts of fire control system for an equipment. On this basis, the demands of maintenance time and spare parts of fire control system for a kind of equipment and various equipment are computed, respectively, and then the demands of maintenance personnel and spare parts of fire control system for combined arms are determined. Finally, the availability of the calculated results of maintenance support personnel and spare parts demands of fire control system for combined arms is verified by effectiveness evaluation. An example was analyzed to verify the feasibility and practicability of the proposed method. The research results show that the proposed simulation method can be used to determine the demands of maintenance support personnel and spare parts of equipment subsystems equiped for combined arms and the calculated results of maintenance support resource demand can be verified by maintenance support effectiveness evaluation.

Key words: combinedarms, MonteCarlosimulation, personnel, spareparts, effectiveness

中图分类号:

王双川，贾希胜，李锋，胡起伟，齐良哲，曹文斌. 基于仿真的合成部队装备维修保障资源需求确定和效能评估[J]. 兵工学报, 2020, 41(8): 1646-1657.

WANG Shuangchuan, JIA Xisheng, LI Feng, HU Qiwei, QI Liangzhe, CAO Wenbin. Resources Demand Determination and Effectiveness Evaluation of Equipment Maintenance Support Based on Simulation forCombined Arms[J]. Acta Armamentarii, 2020, 41(8): 1646-1657.

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