Research on Simulation of Mission Completion Success Probability Assessment for Random Phased-mission

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1000-1093.2017.05.021

Abstract

Abstract: Phased-mission system extensively exists in modern industrial and military fields, and it is of great practical significance to get its mission completion success probability for system performance evaluation and mission scheduling. Taking some special characteristics of mission profile of weapon systems into consideration, the mission completion success probability assessments of two kinds of missions under random condition are addressed. The simulation procedures of interruption inadmissible and interruption permitted random phased-missions subjected to random common-cause failures are proposed. Additionally, the simulation procedures are achieved by Matlab programming. An illustrative example is presented to verify the validity of the proposed procedures. The effects of parameters associated with phased-mission on the mission completion success probability are discussed. The results show that the proposed method can be adopted to assess the mission completion success probability of interruption permitted or inadmissible random phased-mission, and provides an alternative approach to success completion probability assessment of complicated mission. The reasonable mission scheduling can improve system's mission completion success probability which is shown to be important for practical equipment support and management. Key

Key words: ordnancescienceandtechnology, simulationapproach, randomphased-mission, commoncausefailure, missioncompletionsuccessprobability

CLC Number:

CAO Wen-bin， JIA Xi-sheng， HU Qi-wei， CHEN Bing. Research on Simulation of Mission Completion Success Probability Assessment for Random Phased-mission[J]. Acta Armamentarii, 2017, 38(5): 1002-1010.

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第38卷
第5期
2017 年5月兵工学报ACTA
ARMAMENTARIIVol.38No.5May2017

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