Demand Forecasting Model for Joint Fire Strike Ammunition under Stochastic Combination Constraints

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1000-1093.2019.08.022

Abstract

Abstract: For the ammunition demand forecast under joint firepower strike, the effective combat effectiveness indexes of different equipment against different targets are determined based on the loss-exchange ratio of weapon-equipment confrontation. The effective combat effectiveness index is taken as a criterion to evaluate the threat of enemy targets to friend equipment, and provide an essential basis for ammunition demand forecasting. According to the principle of maximum damage to enemy, an joint firepower strike ammunition demand forecasting model with the maximum comprehensive combat effectiveness index as the objective function is established. A variety of constraints are set according to the influencing factors of ammunition demand, the constraints are randomly combined according to the actual combat situation, and the intelligent optimization algorithm is used to solve the model. The result shows that the proposed method is reasonable, effective and operable, and represents the characteristics of joint firepower strike. The demand forecasting of joint fire strike ammunition under the optimal equipment-ammunition-target formation mode is realized. Key

Key words: jointfirestrike, ammunitiondemand, combateffectivenessindex, loss-exchangerate, combinationconstraint, intelligentoptimizationalgorithm

CLC Number:

E835.8

XUE Hui， WANG Yuan， ZHANG Tianpeng， LIU Tielin. Demand Forecasting Model for Joint Fire Strike Ammunition under Stochastic Combination Constraints[J]. Acta Armamentarii, 2019, 40(8): 1716-1724.

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第40卷
第8期2019 年8月兵工学报ACTA
ARMAMENTARIIVol.40No.8Aug.2019

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