Abstract: A convenient solution method for kill probability of antiaircraft rocket weapon is proposed to calculate the kill capability of antiaircraft rocket weapon. On the assumption that the kill capability parameters of fragment warhead and the firing accuracy parameters of antiaircraft rocket weapon are known, a damage capability model of rocket projectile fragment is established according to the damage mechanism of antiaircraft gun AHEAD projectile against aircraft target. The kill barrage size of rocket projectile fragment is translated into an additional size of target in elevation and azimuth directions, and the hit probability of antiaircraft rocket weapon is calculated. A kill probability model of antiaircraft rocket weapon against the aircraft target is established. The kill probability to the aircraft target is computed to show the feasibility of the proposed method by And taking an antiaircraft rocket weapon for example.

Key words: ordnance science and technology, antiaircraft rocket weapon, kill probability, fragment warhead, hit probability