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兵工学报 ›› 2018, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (6): 1066-1073.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-1093.2018.06.004

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于试验结果可信度的装甲车辆测试性综合评估方法研究

徐保荣, 刘学工, 吴延威, 胡伟锋   

  1. (32184部队, 北京 100072)
  • 收稿日期:2017-09-29 修回日期:2017-09-29 上线日期:2018-07-29
  • 作者简介:徐保荣(1980—),男,高级工程师,博士研究生。E-mail: congyu2007xbr@163.com
  • 基金资助:
    武器装备军内科研项目(2014E29)

Research on Comprehensive Evaluation Method for Testability of Armored Vehicle Based on Test Result Credibility

XU Bao-rong, LIU Xue-gong, WU Yan-wei, HU Wei-feng   

  1. (Unit 32184 of PLA, Beijing 100072, China)
  • Received:2017-09-29 Revised:2017-09-29 Online:2018-07-29

摘要: 由于外场试验自然故障样本量不足、实验室试验评估结果优于装备测试性真实水平,装甲车辆定型阶段缺乏科学的测试性评估方法。从条件概率定义出发修正了测试性预测模型,研究得到了测试性评估结果与试验评价方式关系,提出了基于外场试验、实验室试验、分析评价的测试性综合试验方法,构建了试验结果可信度计算模型和按照可信度确定不同试验结果权重的测试性综合评估模型。案例应用结果表明:基于试验结果可信度的测试性综合评估方法既解决了外场试验样本量不充分问题,又提高了试验操作的可行性和评估结论的科学性,为装甲车辆测试性试验提供了方法支持。

关键词: 装甲车辆, 测试性试验, 外场试验, 可信度

Abstract: As the natural fault samples are insufficient in the field test and the evaluated result of the laboratory test is superior to the real testability level of the equipment, a scientific evaluation method of testability is lack for armored vehicles in final stage. For this reason, the test predictive model of testability is modified according to the definition of conditional probability, and the relationship between the test result and the test evaluation mode is studied. A comprehensive test method of testability based on the three test modes, including field test, laboratory test, and analysis and evaluation, is presented, and a calculation model of test result credibility and a comprehensive evaluation model of testability, which determines the weight of different test results according to credibility, are established. The proposed method and models are validated via applied examples. Results show that the comprehensive testability evaluation method based on the credibility of the test results solves the problem that the samples of field test are insufficient and improves the practicability of test operation and the scientificalness of evaluation conclusion. Key

Key words: armoredvehicle, testabilityexperiment, fieldtest, credibility

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