关键词: 兵器科学与技术, 末制导, 目标探测, 蒙特卡洛法, 截获概率

Abstract: The addition of the midcourse guidance in the guided munition attack and the geometrical position between the missile and the target during the missile flight are studied. The key analysis focuses on the angle of the target intercepted from the seeker when the missile attacks the ground fixed target. The fast calculation method and the analytic method are put forward. In the result of the approximate calculation which is from the space distribution ellipsoid and the ground distribution ellipse, the view angle calculation formula is derived. Furthermore, a general mathematical model to get the target acquisition probability from the view of statistical probability is created. According to the 3σ principle, whether to add the midcourse guidance is decided. The zero-effect miss and the maneuvering ability of the guided munition are researched. The results show that the maneuvering ability of the guided munition covers the zero-effort miss. The confidence interval of the view angle first decreases and then increases when the distance between the seeker and the target decreases. Finally, the influences of different disturbance factors on the view angle's confidence interval are calculated. The calculated results show that the wind in x direction has more influence on the view angle than the wind in z direction.

Key words: ordnance science and technology, terminal guidance, target detection, Monte Carlo method, intercept probability