Accreditation Method for Integrated Anti-torpedo Combat Simulation System of Suspended Depth Charge

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1000-1093.2020.12.018

Abstract

Abstract: A mathematic model of survival probability of navel ships is established for integrated anti-torpedo simulation evaluation and confirmation of suspended depth charge. The sample values of survival probability are calculated from the sample data of interception probability output of simulation system. In view of the characteristics of high dimension and large number of survival probability samples，an idea of applying multiple hypothesis test to simulation system validation is proposed. A power model for evaluating test efficacy and a model for calculating p-value of survival probability samples are established，and the steps to solve the key indicators in the model are given. The important evaluation index values of the simulation system were obtained，and the system was evaluated and confirmed. Research results show that the multiple hypothesis test is more strict for the confirmation of simulation system，and it is better than traditional hypothesis test in controlling the first kind of errors.

Key words: suspendeddepthcharge, integrateddefense, torpedocombat, simulationsystem, survivalprobability, multiplehypothesistest

CLC Number:

E925.25

SUN Huiling， HU Weiwen， SONG Yexin， ZHANG Leixiao， LIU Caixia. Accreditation Method for Integrated Anti-torpedo Combat Simulation System of Suspended Depth Charge[J]. Acta Armamentarii, 2020, 41(12): 2523-2529.

References

［1］田恒斗，侯宝娥，赵红光，等.悬浮式深弹反鱼雷武器系统作战效能试验评估方法[J].火力与指挥控制，2014，39(9):122-125.
TIAN H D，HOU B E，ZHAO H G，et al. The operational effectiveness test and evaluation of hovering depth charge anti-torpedo weapon system[J].Fire Control & Command Control，2014，39(9): 122-125. (in Chinese)
[2］侯宝娥，田恒斗，李兵，等.悬浮式深弹武器系统对鱼雷拦截能力试验方案设计[J].水下无人系统学报，2019，27(4)：469-472.
HOU B E，TIAN H D，LI B, et al. Testing scheme design on capability of hovering depth charge weapon system to intercept torpedo[J].Journal of Unmanned Undersea Systems，2019，27(4)：469-472.(in Chinese)
[3］任磊，贾跃，李文哲.舰载软硬防雷武器综合对抗智能鱼雷方案研究[J].兵工学报，2015，36（12）：2336-2341.
REN L，JIA Y，LI W Z.Research on comprehensive scheme of shipboard hard and soft torpedo defense weapons against intelligent torpedoes[J].Acta Armamentarii，2015，36(12):2336-2341. (in Chinese)
[4］闫岩，赵向涛.一种舰载反鱼雷深弹武器系统设想[J].四川兵工学报，2015，36（9）：38-40.
YAN Y，ZHAO X T.Project of ship-borne anti-torpedo depth charge system[J].Journal of Sichuan Ordnance，2015，36(9):38-40. (in Chinese)
[5］张磊潇，胡伟文，孙慧玲.舰艇综合防御鱼雷的作战决策及其关联分析[J].兵工学报，2020，41(5):967-974.
ZHANG L X，HU W W，SUN H L．Combat decision and correlation analysis of warship integrated defense torpedo[J].Acta Armamentarii，2020，41(5):967-974. (in Chinese)
[6］赵峰，胡伟文，姜礼平，等.悬浮式深弹拦截鱼雷作战仿真及效能分析[J].海军工程大学学报，2013，25（4）：6-10.
ZHAO F，HU W W，JIANG L P，et al. Combat simulation and efficiency analysis of suspended depth charge intercepting torpedo[J].Journal of Naval University of Engineering，2013，25(4):6-10.(in Chinese)
[7］赵峰，胡伟文，郑晓滨.拦截鱼雷作战的深弹布设优化决策模型[J].系统工程与电子技术，2014，36（5）：905-911.
ZHAO F，HU W W，ZHENG X B. Decision-making model for optimizing the laying of depth charge in interception torpedo combat[J].Systems Engineering and Electronics，2014，36(5):905-911. (in Chinese)
[8］任磊，贾跃，李文哲.悬浮式拦截弹作战仿真平台的设计与实现[J].电子质量，2017（11）:43-46.
REN L，JIA Y，LI W Z.The design and realization of the suspended depth-charge combat simulation platform[J].Electronics Quality，2017(11) :43-46.(in Chinese)
[9］姚奉亮，贾跃，丁贝.悬浮式深弹拦截不确定型鱼雷作战模型研究[J].鱼雷技术，2011，19(1):63-67.
YAO F L，JIA Y，DING B. Operational model for intercepting uncertain type of torpedo with hovering depth charge[J].Torpedo Technology，2011，19(1):63-67.(in Chinese)
[10］刘朝辉，赵峰，槐万景，等.基于仿真的深弹拦截鱼雷作战效能评估方法[J].火力与指挥控制，2016，41(1):41-44.
LIU Z H，ZHAO F，HUAI W J，et al. Method to evaluate operational effectiveness of hovering depth charge intercepting torpedo based on simulation[J].Fire Control & Command Control，2016，41(1):41-44.(in Chinese)
[11］陈颜辉，孙振新，洪浩.潜射鱼雷弹道预测模型与仿真[C]∥中国造船工程学会电子技术学术委员会2012年水下复杂战场环境目标识别与对抗及仿真技术学术论文集.北京：中国造船工程学会电子技术学术委员会，2012:103-107.
CHEN Y H，SUN Z X，HONG H. Prediction model and simulation of submarine-shot torpedo trajectory[C]∥Proceedings of the 2012 Conference on Target Identification and Confrontation and Simulation Technology for Underwater Complex Battlefields，Electronic Technology Committee of CSNAME. Beijing: Target Identification and Confrontation and Simulation Technology for Underwater Complex Battlefields，Electronic Technology Committee of CSNAME，2012:103-107. (in Chinese)
[12］贾跃，宋保维，梁庆卫.火箭助飞声诱饵对抗鱼雷的舰艇规避优化模型及其生存概率分析[J].兵工学报，2008，29(5):637-640.
JIA Y，SONG B W，LIANG Q W. Evadable optimization model and survival probability analysis of warship with rocket assist acoustic decoy countering torpedo[J].Acta Armamentarii，2008，29(5):637-640. (in Chinese)
[13］贾跃，宋保维，赵向涛.水面舰船对声自导鱼雷防御机动方法研究[J].火力与指挥控制，2009，34（1）：45-46.
JIA Y，SONG B W，ZHAO X T.A Study on vessel evading method to acoustic homing torpedo[J].Fire Control & Command Control， 2009，34(1):45-46. (in Chinese)
[14］房毅，田恒斗，侯宝娥.悬浮式深弹反鱼雷武器仿真试验系统设计[J].兵器装备工程学报，2016，37(6):79-82.
FANG Y，TIAN H D，HOU B E. Simulation test system design of hovering depth charge anti-torpedo weapon[J].Journal of Ordnance Equipment Engineering，2016，37(6):79-82.(in Chinese)
[15］ WASCOM W，VALERIO V，NICHELSON H，et al. Evaluation of littoral combat ships for open-ocean anti-submarine warfare[R].Monterey，CA，US: Naval Postgraduate School，2016.
[16］ BENJAMIN Y，HOCHBERG Y. Controlling the false discovery rate:a practical and powerful approach to multiple testing[J].Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B (Methodological)，1995，57(1): 289-300.
[17］ BENJAMIN I Y，HOCHBERG Y. On the adaptive control of the false discovery rate in multiple testing with independent statistics[J].Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics，2000，25（1）： 60-83.
[18］ EFRON B. Bayesians，frequentists and scientists[J].Journal of the American Statistical Association，2005，100(469):1-5.
[19］ BREM R B，STOREY J D，WHITTLE J，et al. Genetic interactions between polymorphisms that affect gene expression in yeast[J].Nature，2005，436:701-703.
[20］ STOREY J D.A direct approach to false discovery rate[J].Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B(Methodological)，2002，64（3）：479-498.
[21］ STOREY J D. The positive false discovery rate: a Bayesian interpretation and the q-value[J].The Annals of Statistics，2003，31(6): 2013-2035.
[22］ EFRON B. Large-scale inference：empirical Bayes methods for estimation，testing and prediction[M].New York，NY，US：Cambridge University Press，2010：46-48.
[23］ PANNIER A.The Anglo-French defence partnership after the “Brexit” vote: new incentives and new dilemmas[J].Global Affairs，2016，2(5): 481-490.
[24］ NIESSEN K V，MUSCHIK S，LANGGUTH F，et al. Functional analysis of torpedo californica nicotinic acetylcholine receptors in multiple activation states by SSM-based electrophysiology[J].Toxicology Letters，2016，247:1-10.
[25］ LAKSHMIPRASANNA K，RAO S K，JAWAHAR A，et al. Ownship strategies during hostile torpedo attack[J].Indian Journal of Science and Technology，2016，9(16):262-267.
[26］ MENG J，WANG Y J，CAI L，et al. Research on the combination of underwater acoustic countermeasure equipment against torpedo[J].MATEC Web of Conferences，2016 40:02018.

第41卷第12期2020 年12月
兵工学报ACTA ARMAMENTARII
Vol.41No.12Dec.2020

[1]	ZHANG Leixiao， HU Weiwen， SUN Huiling. Combat Decision and Correlation Analysis of Warship Integrated Defense Torpedo [J]. Acta Armamentarii, 2020, 41(5): 967-974.
[2]	HE Yun, ZHANG Fei-long, XU Zhi-gang, LIU Zhe. Design Method of Captive Trajectory System for Wind Tunnel Experiment [J]. Acta Armamentarii, 2018, 39(12): 2480-2487.