基于粒子群优化Fermatean模糊结构方程模型的航空发动机质量评估方法

徐思宁; 王育辉; 程湘钧; 杨乾军; 单志峰; 唐希浪

doi:10.12382/bgxb.2025.0905

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基于粒子群优化Fermatean模糊结构方程模型的航空发动机质量评估方法

更新时间：2026-01-21

- 基于粒子群优化Fermatean模糊结构方程模型的航空发动机质量评估方法
- An Aero-Engine Quality Assessment Method Based on Particle Swarm Optimized Fermatean Fuzzy Structural Equation Model
- 兵工学报 2026年
- 作者机构：
  
  1. 空军工程大学装备管理与无人机工程学院,陕西,西安,710051
  2. 无人飞行器技术全国重点实验室,陕西,西安,710051
  3. 95866部队,河北,保定,071000
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
  
  国家自然科学基金项目(72201276)
- DOI：10.12382/bgxb.2025.0905
  中图分类号： E926
- 收稿：2025-10-13，
  
  网络出版：2026-01-05，
- 稿件说明：
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徐思宁, 王育辉, 程湘钧, 等. 基于粒子群优化Fermatean模糊结构方程模型的航空发动机质量评估方法[J/OL]. 兵工学报, 2026(2026-01-05). https://doi.org/10.12382/bgxb.2025.0905.

XÜ S N, WANG Y H, CHENG X J, et al. An aero-engine quality assessment method based on particle swarm optimized fermatean fuzzy structural equation model[J/OL]. Acta Armamentarii, 2026(2026-01-05). https://doi.org/10.12382/bgxb.2025.0905. (in Chinese)
徐思宁, 王育辉, 程湘钧, 等. 基于粒子群优化Fermatean模糊结构方程模型的航空发动机质量评估方法[J/OL]. 兵工学报, 2026(2026-01-05). https://doi.org/10.12382/bgxb.2025.0905. DOI：

XÜ S N, WANG Y H, CHENG X J, et al. An aero-engine quality assessment method based on particle swarm optimized fermatean fuzzy structural equation model[J/OL]. Acta Armamentarii, 2026(2026-01-05). https://doi.org/10.12382/bgxb.2025.0905. (in Chinese) DOI：

摘要

针对航空发动机质量评估中不确定性信息处理不足与模型易陷局部最优的问题，提出一种融合Fermatean模糊结构方程模型（Structural Equation Modeling

SEM）与粒子群优化（Particle Swarm Optimization，PSO）的评估方法。首先，基于输入-过程-输出-环境（Input-Process-Output-Environment

IPO

E）模型构建含16项指标的评估体系，其中含3项模糊指标；其次，采用Fermatean模糊集理论处理模糊指标，结合专家打分完成去模糊化转换，并在此基础上构建Fermatean模糊SEM；最后引入PSO算法优化模型参数，提升模型的拟合度与解释力。以56台涡扇发动机数据为样本，与传统结构方程模型、层次分析法-逼近理想解排序（Analytic Hierarchy Process-Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to an Ideal Solution

AHP-TOPSIS）法、BP神经网络三类典型方法进行对比验证。研究结果表明：所提方法近似误差均方根（Root Mean Square Error of Approximation

RMSEA）为0.032、比较拟合指数（Comparative Fit Index

CFI）为0.99、评估准确度

=0.89，维修优先级识别准确率90.9%，留一交叉验证变异系数0.074，均优于对比方法；该方法能够有效处理航空发动机质量评估中的模糊性与复杂性，为装备质量管控与维修决策提供科学依据。

Abstract

Toaddress the issues of insufficient uncertainty information processing and local optimum entrapment in aero-engine quality assessment

an evaluation method integratingFermateanfuzzy structural equation model with particle swarm optimization algorithm is proposed. First

an assessment system comprising 16 indicators

including 3 fuzzy indicators

is established based on the IPO&E model. Second

Fermateanfuzzy set theory is employed to process fuzzy indicators

and defuzzification is completed through expert scoring integration

upon which aFermateanfuzzy structural equation model is constructed. Finally

particle swarm optimization algorithm is introduced for global optimization of model parameters to enhance model fitness and explanatory power. Using data from 56 turbofan engines as samples

comparative validation is conducted against traditional structural equation model

Analytic Hierarchy Process-Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to an Ideal Solution

and BP neural network. The results indicate that the proposed method achieves aroot mean square error of approximation (RMSEA) of 0.032

a Comparative Fit Index (CFI) of 0.99

an assessment accuracy of 0.89

a maintenance priority identification accuracyof 90.9%

and a leave-one-out cross-validation coefficient of variation of 0.074

all outperforming the comparative methods. This method effectively addresses the fuzziness and complexity in aero-engine quality assessment

providing a scientific basis for equipment quality control and maintenance decision-making.

关键词

Keywords

references

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