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齐小刚 , 刘学星 , 张博孜 , 等 . 基于结构方程模型的武器装备体系涌现性度量模型 [J ] . 兵工学报 , 2020 , 41 ( 2 ): 406 - 416 . DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-1093.2020.02.024 http://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.1000-1093.2020.02.024 针对武器装备体系作战能力涌现性难以评估和度量的问题，提出了武器装备体系作战能力涌现性的度量模型。以复杂自适应系统为视角建立作战能力涌现性的概念模型，并剖析体系中各个子系统的内在因素，从而建立评价度量模型作战能力的指标体系；根据指标体系构建线性和非线性涌现的结构方程模型（SEM）；结合两种SEM度量模型构造了模型参数结构方程。为验证所提武器装备体系作战能力涌现性度量模型的性能，以某航母编队反舰作战为例，采用结构方程模型分析软件LISREL 8.70得到SEM的参数估计值，进而确定两种SEM结构方程。根据该方程进行作战能力评估，结果显示，与线性涌现的SEM相比，非线性模型更接近实际作战能力。

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