1. 北京理工大学 爆炸科学与技术国家重点实验室, 北京 100081
2. 航空工业洪都660所, 江西 南昌 330024
*邮箱: dongheng@bit.edu.cn
收稿:2023-03-31,
网络出版:2024-01-12,
纸质出版:2023-12-30
移动端阅览
李萌, 武海军, 董恒, 等. 基于机器学习的混凝土侵彻深度预测模型[J]. 兵工学报, 2023,44(12):3771-3782.
Meng LI, Haijun WU, Heng DONG, et al. Machine Learning-based Models for Predicting the Penetration Depth of Concrete[J]. Acta Armamentarii, 2023, 44(12): 3771-3782.
李萌, 武海军, 董恒, 等. 基于机器学习的混凝土侵彻深度预测模型[J]. 兵工学报, 2023,44(12):3771-3782. DOI: 10.12382/bgxb.2023.0291.
Meng LI, Haijun WU, Heng DONG, et al. Machine Learning-based Models for Predicting the Penetration Depth of Concrete[J]. Acta Armamentarii, 2023, 44(12): 3771-3782. DOI: 10.12382/bgxb.2023.0291.
针对侵彻试验数据少且离散性较大导致预测侵彻深度的机器学习模型精度不高的问题
在收集大量侵彻试验数据的基础上
通过线性插值和添加高斯噪声等数据增强方法扩展侵彻数据
增大可用数据数量。采用遗传算法和贪心算法优化多层感知器、径向基神经网络、支持向量回归和极限梯度提升树4种常用机器学习模型的超参数
实现基于机器学习的混凝土侵彻深度预测。采用灵敏度分析方法分析侵彻深度对各弹靶参数的敏感程度。研究结果表明:采用线性插值和添加高斯噪声的方法可以有效地缓解数据不足的问题;采用数据增强后
多层感知器、径向基神经网络和极限梯度提升树的精度分别提高了2.49%、0.99%、0.74%和0.72%;弹体直径、着靶速度、弹体质量是对侵彻深度影响最大的参数;最优混凝土侵彻深度预测机器学习模型的平均误差为8.28%
该模型精度优于常用的侵彻深度预测经验公式。
The test data about concrete penetration are often limited in quantity and unevenly distributed
which leads to the poor accuracy of machine learning-based models for predicting the penetration depth. This study aims to mitigate the unevenness of data distribution and increase the amount of available data to obtain an optimal machine learning model under the limitation of limited penetration test data. Based on collecting a large amount of penetration test data
the penetration data are extended by data augmentation methods such as linear interpolation and adding Gaussian noise. The genetic algorithm and greedy algorithm are used to optimize the hyperparameters of four common machine learning models: multilayer perceptron
radial basis neural network
support vector regression and extreme gradient boosting tree. The prediction of concrete penetration depth based on machine learning is realized. Sensitivity analysis method is used to analyze the influence of input factors on the penetration depth. The results show that the problem of insufficient data can be effectively alleviated by using linear interpolation and adding Gaussian noise. The accuracies of multilayer perceptron
radial basis neural network
support vector regression and extreme gradient boosting tree are improved by 2.49%
0.99%
0.74%
and 0.72%
respectively
after using data augmentation. The diameter
impact velocity and mass of projectile have the dominant influence on penetration depth. In addition
the average error of the optimal concrete penetration depth prediction machine learning model is 8.28%
and its global accuracy is better than the commonly used empirical formulas for predicting the penetration depth.
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