1. 空军预警学院 信息对抗系, 湖北 武汉 430019
2. 空军预警学院 预警情报系, 湖北 武汉 430019
3. 之江实验室, 浙江 杭州 311121
* 邮箱: haleine@ustc.edu
收稿:2022-06-06,
网络出版:2024-02-06,
纸质出版:2024-01-30
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俞锦涛, 肖兵, 崔玉竹. 基于节点重要性和改进效能环的防空反导预警体系能力评估[J]. 兵工学报, 2024,45(1):328-338.
Jintao YU, Bing XIAO, Yuzhu CUI. Capability Evaluation of Air Defense and Anti-missile Early Warning System-of-systems Based on Node Importance and Improved Effectiveness Loop[J]. Acta Armamentarii, 2024, 45(1): 328-338.
俞锦涛, 肖兵, 崔玉竹. 基于节点重要性和改进效能环的防空反导预警体系能力评估[J]. 兵工学报, 2024,45(1):328-338. DOI: 10.12382/bgxb.2022.0488.
Jintao YU, Bing XIAO, Yuzhu CUI. Capability Evaluation of Air Defense and Anti-missile Early Warning System-of-systems Based on Node Importance and Improved Effectiveness Loop[J]. Acta Armamentarii, 2024, 45(1): 328-338. DOI: 10.12382/bgxb.2022.0488.
针对防空反导预警体系能力评估中存在的现实性较弱、考虑异质特性较少和能力计算不够全面等问题
提出基于节点重要性和改进效能环的体系能力评估方法。依托超网络模型对体系结构进行抽象建模
给出具有现实意义的效能环模型。从网络全局和局部节点的重要性出发
根据节点之间相互影响关系对效能边进行分析
并结合节点的重要性和可靠性提出体系的能力期望
从而改进基于效能环的体系能力评估方法。反导预警作战的案例仿真分析结果表明:新方法具有可行性与合理性
充分考虑了防空反导预警体系的现实特性和装备的异质特征
能够较全面地评估体系作战能力
为体系的能力评估和结构优化提供理论支撑。
A capability evaluation method of air defense and anti-missile early warning system-of-systems (SOS) based on the node importance and improved effectiveness loop (EL) is proposed to address the problems in the capability evaluation of air defense and anti-missile SOS
such as weak realism
less consideration of heterogeneous characteristics and incomplete calculation of capabilities. The structure of the SOS is abstractly modeled based on the super-network model
and a more realistic EL model is proposed. The importance of nodes is calculated from the global and local aspects of the network. Then the effectiveness edges are analyzed according to the mutual influence relations among nodes. In addition
the capability expectation of the SOS is presented to improve the evaluation method by combining the node importance and reliability with the capability of the edge. Finally
the feasibility and rationality of the method are verified through the simulation analysis of anti-missile early warning combat example. The proposed method fully takes the realistic characteristics of the air defense and anti-missile early warning SOS and the heterogeneous features of the equipment into account
and can assess the capability of SOS in a more comprehensive manner
which provides theoretical support for the capability evaluation and structural optimization of SOS.
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LEI Y L , ZHU Z , GAN B , et al . Combat effectiveness simulation evaluation framework of complex weapon system [J ] . Journal of System Simulation , 2020 , 32 ( 9 ): 1654 - 1663 . (in Chinese) DOI: 10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.20-0373 http://doi.org/10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.20-0373 Combat effectiveness evaluation of complex weapon system is a scientific issue both military departments and defense industry concern. Current researches on simulation-based weapon system combat effectiveness evaluation lack the specificity to complex weapon system and a simulation-based formal combat effectiveness evaluation framework is especially desired. <em>A framework is created and formalized on three measure layers of performance-outcome-effectiveness</em>. Within the framework, simulation inputs are classified into different categories different outcome measure layers and different effectiveness measure layers are considered. An example of combat effectiveness evaluation framework for typical ballistic missiles is presented to demonstrate the proposed framework.
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ZHOU C , SHANG B L , SONG B F , et al . Aviation armament system of systems contribution evaluation based on operation loop [J ] . Acta Aeronautica et Astronautica Sinica , 2022 , 43 ( 2 ): 224958 . (in Chinese) DOI: 10.7527/S1000-6893.2020.24958 http://doi.org/10.7527/S1000-6893.2020.24958 The operation loop method is improved and introduced into the solution to the evaluation problem of the effectiveness and equipment contribution rate of high confrontation armament system-of-systems in air combat and other fields. First, an operation loop network model considering node failure is constructed to describe the armament system-of-systems containing comprehensive equipment, and a method for calculating edge and node weights based on fuzzy comprehension evaluation is presented. Secondly, combined with the idea of network reliability, a Monte Carlo method based on depth-first search is provided to calculate the efficiency of armament system-of-systems, and a general contribution rate calculation method for multiple evaluation objects with the participation of comprehensive equipment is given. Finally, a sea interception operation system of systems is taken as a case study to verify the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed methods.
赵丹玲 , 谭跃进 , 李际超 , 等 . 基于作战环的武器装备体系贡献度评估 [J ] . 系统工程与电子技术 , 2017 , 39 ( 10 ): 2239 - 2247 .
ZHAO D L , TAN Y J , LI J C , et al . Armament system of systems contribution evaluation based on operation loop [J ] . Systems Engineering and Electronics , 2017 , 39 ( 10 ): 2239 - 2247 . (in Chinese) DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-506X.2017.10.13 http://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.1001-506X.2017.10.13 From the point of system of system, considering the relationship between the equipments, this paper constructs a network evaluation model of armament system of systems (SoS) based on the operation loop. Firstly, the capability index system of weapon equipment is constructed, and the interaction relationships between the equipments are quantitatively described by capability satisfaction degree. Secondly, the system operational capability and the number of operation rings are put forward, and the weapon equipment system is evaluated synthetically. Then, we introduce the concept of the contribution to establish a model to calculate the contribution of each equipment to the system, according to the contribution of equipment to find the priority development of equipment. Finally, the combat network model is established by taking sea counterattack as an example, and the research method proposed in this paper is applied to practice analysis, which provides theoretical support for optimization of weapon equipment configuration.
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